Last Friday, the Seattle Times ran an interesting story about a “limousine driver, earning little more than minimum wage” being approved for a loan on a $1.5 million condo in Bellevue Towers. The story was also picked up by at least one of the local television news outlets, and has been making the rounds on…
Poll: Favorite Government Bailout (so far)?
Please vote in this poll using the sidebar. For more information on any of these programs, browse the “Government Meddling” tag. This poll will be active and displayed on the sidebar through 02.28.2009.
John Talbott on Spotting the Bottom in Seattle Real Estate
In yesterday’s Bottom-Calling conclusion discussion, Sniglet asked: If Mr. Talbott’s predictions were to come true, and we reverted to 1997 prices, what would those be? What percentage of a decline would we be talking about for the Seattle area? I responded: Based on the January 1997 King County SFH Median of $179,500, and using the…
Bottom-Calling: So Where’s the Bottom?
So, after analyzing five (or six) different forecast methods, slicing and dicing the data, and squeezing out as many predictions as we can in a week, we’re left with one simple question: Where is the bottom? Here’s a summary of the bottom months for each of the forecasts we looked at this week: Even if…
Bottom-Calling: San Diego Lag Forecast
As regular readers of Seattle Bubble are aware, one of the most popular (and simultaneously one of the most controversial) charts we publish on a regular basis is the “Behind the Cycle” graph, which shows the year-over-year changes in Seattle and Portland’s Case-Shiller HPIs offset by 17 months from the YOY changes in the HPIs…