Here’s an interesting way to look at the Case-Shiller data: comparing the actual index values to theoretical values as they would look if they grew at a steady rate year-over-year. The data starts in 1990 because that is the first year that the Case-Shiller index began tracking Seattle. 1990 may not be the best year…
Comparing Boom and Bust Cycles Across Markets
The point has been made many times here that exposure to downturns needs to be viewed in the context of how much a market rose during the boom. I thought it would be interesting to test this by comparing the total percentage gain during the boom years to the total percentage drop from peak to…
A surge in “pent-up supply”?
I have a couple of RSS feeds from real estate sites that I use to monitor listings that might be of interest to me. They are targeted at a couple of neighborhoods, and focused on homes that are likely to be mid-century modern. Over the past couple of weeks, I had noted that the volume…
Case-Shiller Tiers: Spring Bounce Erased
Here’s our monthly look at Seattle’s price tiers from Case-Shiller. Remember that Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Now here come the graphs. First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through May 2008. Click to enlarge As you can see,…
Case-Shiller: Let the Decline Continue
Last month’s Case-Shiller data showed a slight increase in prices month to month, possibly signaling the end of the bust for Seattle. Or not. This month’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index would seem to indicate that the bust is not over yet. Down 0.5% April to May. Down 6.3% YOY. Last year prices rose 0.95% from…