For those of you not familiar with Steve Tytler, he is a columnist for the Everett Herald (and also the owner of a mortgage company) who has been pretty much the most reasonable voice in the local media on the housing market. Despite our difference of opinion on just how things will play out, I…
Tag: predictions
If we’re at the top, where do we go from here?
Many of you may have read my previous post that tied the performance of the Case-Shiller index to the growth in inventory. Since then, I’ve done a bit more tweaking of that model – which has proven to be reasonably consistent with actual results over the past few months. Better on the YoY figure than…
Depends on what the meaning of “stable” is…
Forbes just loves to frame their articles around lists. You may recall Seattle showing up frequently on previous such real-estate-related lists, such as Best Places to Flip a Home (#1), Richest Cities In The U.S. (#8), Best Cities For Jobs (#34), and Most Overpriced Places In The U.S. 2005 (#1). Well, lucky us, we made…
Who Are You Going to Believe on the Economy?
Let’s have a little economic review, shall we? Early 2006 — We were told by “economists” that all is well in the housing market, and we were just headed for a soft landing. Definitely zero risk to the economy. January 27, 2006“All the hype about the housing market falling apart is exaggerated,” Tim Rogers, Boston-based…
Best, Worst, & Most Likely Scenarios?
Here’s something that should be fun to discuss. I’m interested in hearing everybody’s ideas about the types of scenarios that may play out in the Seattle-area housing market. Best case, worst case, and most likely case. Here are my wild-donkey guesses: Best CasePrices flat to +3% for ten or more years. Local economy keeps chugging,…