Case-Shiller: Seattle Real Estate is Hot, Hot, HOT!

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to March data that was released this morning, Seattle-area home prices were:

Up 2.6 percent March to April
Up 12.9 percent year-over-year.
Up 15.7 percent from the July 2007 peak

Over the same period last year prices were up 2.1 percent month-over-month and year-over-year prices were up 10.7 percent.

Seattle home prices as measured by Case-Shiller shot up yet again to a new all-time high in April, and let the nation in month-over-month and year-over-year price gains for the third month in a row. We’re also the only market still seeing double-digit year-over-year price gains. #SeattleIsSpecial

Here’s a Tableau Public interactive graph of the year-over-year change for all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities. Check and un-check the boxes on the right to modify which cities are showing:

Seattle’s rank for month-over-month changes hit #1 in February and has held that position since then, through April.

Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month

Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of raw index data for all 20 metro areas.

Seattle’s year-over-year price growth jumped up yet again from March to April, to the highest level it has been at since October 2013. Yet again in April, none of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked metro areas gained more year-over-year than Seattle. From February through August of last year, Portland had been in the #1 slot above Seattle.

This is not the first time that the Northwest has been “literally the envy of other states.”

Eight cities hit new all-time highs again in April: San Francisco, Denver, Atlanta, Boston, Charlotte, Portland, Dallas, and Seattle.

Here’s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty metro areas through April.

Here’s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph created by reader CrystalBall. This chart takes the twelve metro areas whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak. The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.

Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak

In the 117 months since the price peak in Seattle prices are up 15.7 percent.

Lastly, let’s see how Seattle’s current prices compare to the previous bubble inflation and subsequent burst. Note that this chart does not adjust for inflation.

Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index

Check back tomorrow for our monthly look at Case-Shiller data for Seattle’s price tiers.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 2017-06-27)

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About The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.