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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Robert Shiller: Fundamentals No, Psychology Yes

Posted on September 4, 2007September 4, 2007 by The Tim

For those of you that are interested in more lengthy reading, a new paper by Robert Shiller (as in Case-Shiller) was released this weekend: Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership (pdf). Here are a couple of money quotes: It does not appear possible to explain the boom in terms of fundamentals such…

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Has Seattle Reached a new Plateau?

Posted on September 4, 2007 by The Tim

A reader going by the name Angie has been making some comments on a couple of posts the last few days that merit further discussion: …the fact is that in some places in the US all but the very rich have been priced out forever! NYC, coastal southern California, San Francisco, etc, etc. It’s been…

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Say Hell NO to Government Bailouts!

Posted on August 31, 2007August 31, 2007 by The Tim

Seriously. What the hell. August 9, 2007 – Bush: No bailout for pinched homeowners President Bush said Thursday concern should be shown those who’ve lost their homes but it’s not the federal government’s job to bail them out. “Obviously anybody who loses their home is somebody with whom we must show an enormous empathy,” Bush…

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Case-Shiller Complete Graph

Posted on August 31, 2007August 31, 2007 by The Tim

By popular request, here is a version of yesterday’s graph that includes all 20 cities tracked by Case-Shiller, with no time-shifting monkey business going on. Click the image for a super-sized version. Click to enlarge When I look at the graph, I see that Seattle and Portland—for whatever reason—seem to have arrived at the appreciation-spike…

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Case-Shiller: Seattle Following the Crowd Down

Posted on August 30, 2007August 30, 2007 by The Tim

As many of you have already noticed, the latest Case-Shiller data (June) has been released. Here’s an update of the graph I’ve been keeping of the west coast cities: Click to enlarge For those that are into this sort of thing, here’s what Aubrey Cohen over at the Seattle P-I had to say about the…

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