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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels

Posted on September 27, 2018October 1, 2018 by The Tim

Before the month is over, let’s check in in on the latest data from the Consumer Confidence Index.

The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 138.4, up three percent in a month and up fifteen percent from a year ago…

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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low tier home prices edged up in July as mid and high tiers slipped

Posted on September 26, 2018October 1, 2018 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Only the low tier was up month-over-month once more in July. The middle tier and high tier both fell…

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Case-Shiller: Seattle was the only market to see price declines between June and July

Posted on September 25, 2018October 1, 2018 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to July data that was released today, Seattle-area home prices were:

Down less than 0.1 percent June to July
Up 12.1 percent YOY.
Up 34.7 percent from the July 2007 peak

Last year at this time prices were up 0.7 percent month-over-month and year-over-year prices were up 13.5 percent…

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Expensive parts of King County are seeing bigger dips in sales and prices

Posted on September 24, 2018October 1, 2018 by The Tim

It’s been six months since we took a look at the in-county breakdown data from the NWMLS to see how the sales mix shifted around the county. I like to keep an eye on this not only to see how individual neighborhoods are doing but also to see how the sales mix shift affects the overall county-wide median price.
…
The number of sales in all three tiers has been decreasing month-over-month for the past two months. Month-over-month sales were down five percent in the low tier, down ten percent in the middle tier, and down eight percent in the high tier…

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The difference between affordable and actual home prices hit an all-time record in May

Posted on September 21, 2018October 1, 2018 by The Tim

As promised yesterday, here’s an updated look at the “affordable home” price chart.
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The “affordable” home price has bounced around between about $550,000 and $590,000 since the beginning of 2017. The current “affordable” home price of $568,758 in King County would have a monthly payment of $2,319…

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