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Amazon, Go

Okay, okay, let’s talk about Amazon HQ2

Posted on September 19, 2017September 19, 2017 by The Tim

Everybody is talking about it, and it’s definitely going to have some kind of effect on the local economy in Seattle, so even though it’s a bit late, let’s talk about Amazon’s HQ2.

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’ve no doubt seen the news that Amazon is seeking to build a second headquarters somewhere “in North America” that “will be a full equal to our current campus in Seattle.” GeekWire has been covering the story extensively (including a data-based city analysis by yours truly), so if you need to catch up on the facts, head over there. For the discussion here, let’s focus on the possible impact this development will have on the Seattle-area real estate market.

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City of Seattle Population Growth

NWMLS Falsely Inflates Seattle’s Population Growth

Posted on July 7, 2017July 8, 2017 by The Tim

It’s time once again for a reporting roundup, where you can read my wry commentary about the news instead of subjecting yourself to boring rehashes of the NWMLS press release (or in addition to, if that’s what floats your boat).
…
For a month that saw home prices shoot up to insane new all-time highs, the quotes from home salesmen in this month’s release are surprisingly calm.

I do want to address one glaring error in the release, though:

Seattle’s growing population is another likely factor. Recent U.S. Census Bureau data shows Seattle is gaining about 1,100 residents per week, an “astounding” figure, said MLS director Diedre Haines.

That number is false. The most recent data available shows a growth rate of less than half that level…

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Net Loss as a Percent of Revenue: Redfin and Zillow (2014-2016)

Redfin files S-1, likely to IPO later this year

Posted on June 30, 2017June 30, 2017 by The Tim

News broke late this afternoon that after 13 years as a “startup,” Redfin has finally filed their S-1 with the SEC, signalling their intent to make an initial public offering (IPO) later this year.

Let’s take this opportunity to directly compare some financial and usage data between Redfin and Zillow.

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Huge 2017 Apartment Boom Should Soften Housing Market

Posted on January 12, 2017January 12, 2017 by The Tim

Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts by becoming a member of Seattle Bubble. Good news for renters (and maybe hopeful home buyers, as well): 2017 should see the beginning of relief for the Seattle area’s crazy rental housing market. The infamous $750-a-month 130-square-foot ‘prison cell’…

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September Reporting Roundup: “The Market Is Still Strong”

Posted on October 6, 2016October 6, 2016 by The Tim

It’s time once again for the monthly reporting roundup, where you can read my wry commentary about the news instead of subjecting yourself to boring rehashes of the NWMLS press release (or in addition to, if that’s what floats your boat).

To kick things off, here’s an excerpt from the NWMLS press release:

Western Washington Housing Market Still Strong
It’s still a seller’s market, but some leaders from Northwest Multiple Listing Service think the imbalance may be easing in some areas, pointing to a slower pace of sales and moderating prices. Others aren’t convinced, citing mixed indicators…

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