How Deep is the Current Listings Drought?

How Deep is the Current Listings Drought?

I thought it would be interesting to take a deeper look at the depth of the current listings drought by comparing monthly new listings over the last few years to the same period during the previous bubble (before listings began to increase in 2007). Here’s a view of the number of new single-family homes that […]

Warning: New Housing Bubble Ahead

This comment left by Ryan strikes me as a clear warning sign of another housing bubble inflating in Seattle. Just pulled the trigger on buying a townhouse in Fremont for $745k. Haven’t closed yet so don’t want to link to the MLS. Thought I would share my thinking on why I bought and what the […]

March Reporting Roundup: Anxious Frenzy Edition

It’s time once again for the monthly reporting roundup, where you can read my wry commentary about the news instead of subjecting yourself to boring rehashes of the NWMLS press release (or in addition to, if that’s what floats your boat). To kick things off, here’s an excerpt from the NWMLS press release: Frenzied Market […]

NWMLS: Home Prices & Sales Shot Up in March; Inventory Still Anemic

NWMLS: Home Prices & Sales Shot Up in March; Inventory Still Anemic

March market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Before we get into our monthly stats, here’s a quick look at their press release. Frenzied Market Frustrating Buyers Buyer anxiety is rising as the pace of home sales is faster than brokers are able to replenish inventory, according to members of Northwest Multiple Listing Service. […]

Case-Shiller: Home Prices Slipped Just Slightly in January

Case-Shiller: Home Prices Slipped Just Slightly in January

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to January data, Seattle-area home prices were: Down 0.5% December to January Up 6.8% YOY. Down 12.2% from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices fell 0.8% month-over-month and year-over-year prices were up 11.9%. Year-over-year price gains […]

Housing Bubble 2.0: The Perma-Bears Respond

Ben Jones, who has been blogging about the housing bubble from down in Arizona since late 2004 at The Housing Bubble Blog linked to my “Welcome to Housing Bubble 2.0” post yesterday, prompting an interesting discussion in the comments. Here’s a selection from the conversation that ensued: Comment by Ben Jones I’ve called this the […]

Welcome to Housing Bubble 2.0

With home prices nearing their 2007 peak levels in the Seattle area (and no doubt exceeding them in some neighborhoods), I thought it would be good to step back from the monthly stats and take a big picture look at what’s going on in the housing market.

To answer the question of whether or not we are in another bubble, let’s compare and contrast the present frenzy to what the housing market went through during the Great Housing Bubble…