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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Foreclosure Breakdown: King / Snohomish / Pierce

Posted on October 31, 2008February 19, 2009 by The Tim

In order to bring an even more complete picture of the Seattle-area foreclosure situation, I spent some time with Snohomish and Pierce County records, and pulled data on the number of Notices of Trustee Sale going back to 2000 for each county. Here are charts of King, Pierce, and Snohomish County foreclosures from January 2000…

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Zillow: Some Homeowners Still Fooling Themselves

Posted on October 31, 2008 by The Tim

Zillow’s latest Homeowner Confidence Survey is at least worth a brief mention. According to the third quarter update, only 65% of homeowners in the West believe that their home declined in value over the last year, while in reality 85% of homes experienced falling prices. Read Zillow’s own blog post about the report here. Also…

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CEPR: Today’s Buyers to Lose Massive Equity

Posted on October 30, 2008October 30, 2008 by The Tim

The Center for Economic and Policy Research has released another report on the prospects for building home equity over the next four years, and much like their April report, their conclusions are not good for current home buyers hoping to build short-term equity. Despite the collapsing housing bubble and consequent fall in house prices in…

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Case-Shiller Tiers: Synchronized Dropping

Posted on October 29, 2008November 26, 2008 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through August 2008. Click to enlarge Price drops continued in August…

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Case-Shiller: Price Declines Continue Unabated

Posted on October 28, 2008January 28, 2009 by The Tim

It’s time once again for an update on the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to August data, home prices in and around Seattle continue to decline at a steady pace. Down 0.7% July to August. Down 8.8% YOY. Last year prices fell 0.10% from July to August (their first month-to-month drop), and year-over-year prices were…

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